Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 238.287089 268.181221 301.265180 340.752140 386.802426 439.055468 503.180698
2025-05-18 189.164481 227.483478 273.544983 333.598322 410.720544 507.669882 640.750289
2025-05-25 168.537025 211.954892 267.184279 343.813063 449.349863 592.598269 807.121687
2025-06-01 150.396120 195.702905 255.901614 343.611390 471.391761 656.146597 954.042972
2025-06-08 134.645175 180.088692 242.644595 337.545647 482.493114 703.753950 1084.491925
2025-06-15 124.046266 170.066233 235.480652 338.472171 502.875034 767.128334 1251.585025
2025-06-22 113.029837 158.152790 224.021176 331.011761 508.340506 806.401749 1384.349272
2025-06-29 105.103242 149.915100 217.000574 329.275500 522.283398 861.325870 1556.905674
2025-07-06 95.524440 138.304438 203.623746 315.553979 513.662024 874.312176 1649.471186
2025-07-13 92.458955 136.398634 205.176543 326.626425 549.802373 975.469816 1948.831819
2025-07-20 90.117846 135.374195 207.943820 339.924567 591.675206 1095.005900 2322.070401
2025-07-27 85.569465 130.398220 203.676390 340.141351 608.464356 1166.189098 2601.226591
2025-08-03 79.640147 122.825975 194.565764 330.870512 605.913895 1197.147384 2792.402311
2025-08-10 74.629637 116.455852 187.045443 323.849451 607.129629 1237.078255 3021.727288
2025-08-17 72.718045 115.180367 188.309043 333.702919 645.082950 1369.239194 3560.099687
2025-08-24 69.479359 111.369078 184.690714 333.508234 661.101217 1451.730959 3980.321182
2025-08-31 65.734045 106.416107 178.595321 327.660726 663.544561 1500.405429 4310.110548
2025-09-07 63.194803 103.436972 175.920252 328.553972 681.661499 1594.030639 4835.504319
2025-09-14 59.829473 98.760348 169.701800 321.360915 679.521278 1631.963644 5173.508346
2025-09-21 57.388626 95.625810 166.211985 319.686682 690.671843 1710.157509 5706.888885
2025-09-28 53.773270 90.127367 157.782247 306.452745 671.144946 1694.525087 5846.145226
2025-10-05 53.098764 90.067831 160.017523 317.132104 714.490733 1879.655518 6965.706050
2025-10-12 52.654353 90.406623 163.057337 329.954165 765.671312 2104.016643 8428.921870